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Applying Recurrent Neural Network for Passenger Traffic Forecasting

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Advances in Computer Science for Engineering and Education II (ICCSEEA 2019)

Abstract

The article represents the analysis of neural networks that can be used to predict passenger traffic between cities. Passenger data nonstationary timetable is considered. A class of recurrent neural networks (RNN) have also been considered, among which the expediency of using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network for analysis and prediction of passenger traffic on the interurban route investigated is selected and substantiated. The stages of the research are represented. The data of the Ukrainian motor transport enterprise for 2007–2015 were used for the experiment. The study uses static methods for predicting the moving average, exponential smoothing of Holt-Winters, linear and logarithmic trends for verification and comparison of forecast accuracy with various methods.

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Correspondence to Liubov Oleshchenko .

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Hu, Z., Dychka, I., Oleshchenko, L., Kukharyev, S. (2020). Applying Recurrent Neural Network for Passenger Traffic Forecasting. In: Hu, Z., Petoukhov, S., Dychka, I., He, M. (eds) Advances in Computer Science for Engineering and Education II. ICCSEEA 2019. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 938. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-16621-2_7

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