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Safety Risk Assessment of Space Launch Site Considering Human Reliability

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Advances in Human Error, Reliability, Resilience, and Performance (AHFE 2019)

Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 956))

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Abstract

This paper evaluates the safety risk of space launch site from the perspective of human reliability. Firstly, the risk causes are analyzed, and it is found that the main reason affecting the safety risk of space launch site is human error. Then, a modified CREAM is proposed to analyze the human reliability of risk events in space launch site. The method uses the fuzzy function to convert discrete CPCs and control modes into continuous, and apply Bayesian reasoning to obtain more accurate HEP. Finally, on the basis of HEP data, the Bayesian network of space launch site risk is constructed, and the risk probability of the overall system is evaluated and sensitivity analysis is carried out.

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Acknowledgments

This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grants No. 71171008/No. 71571004, the National Key Research and Development Program of China, the Special Scientific Research Project for Civil Aircraft of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China

    Tun Liu, Wenjin Zhang, Xing Pan & Xiaoxia Wang

Authors
  1. Tun Liu
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  2. Wenjin Zhang
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  3. Xing Pan
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  4. Xiaoxia Wang
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Xing Pan .

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Editors and Affiliations

  1. Idaho National Laboratory, Idaho Falls, ID, USA

    Ronald L. Boring

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Liu, T., Zhang, W., Pan, X., Wang, X. (2020). Safety Risk Assessment of Space Launch Site Considering Human Reliability. In: Boring, R. (eds) Advances in Human Error, Reliability, Resilience, and Performance. AHFE 2019. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 956. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-20037-4_29

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-20037-4_29

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-20036-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-20037-4

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

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