Skip to main content

How to Defend Society? Baltic Responses to Hybrid Threats

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Small States and the New Security Environment

Part of the book series: The World of Small States ((WSS,volume 7))

  • 862 Accesses

Abstract

In 2007, ethnic divisions and conflicting interpretations of Estonia’s World War II legacy were exposed in the Bronze Soldier war memorial incident. The Estonian government relocated the controversial statue and war graves, which resulted in riots and massive cyberattacks by Russia. It was a sure sign that the security environment had changed for Estonia and its Baltic neighbours. Protracted deterioration of the relations between Russia and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) after the annexation of Crimea has turned Baltic states into NATO’s “new front-line states” and exposed them to recurrent Russian interference activities, which, however, fall under NATO’s Article 5 threshold. Due to the dominant traditional security concept in all three states, the nature of Russian interference activities and the particularities of an external shelter mean that societal security remains the main security challenge in the Baltic states. This chapter investigates the main societal security challenges in three Baltic states to identify the ways Russia attempts to manipulate them and to discover the strategies and tools that Baltic states employ to respond to these challenges.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 119.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 159.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 159.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    Thorhallsson (2015).

  2. 2.

    Riigikantselei, National Security Concept of Estonia, 2017, https://riigikantselei.ee/sites/default/files/content-editors/Failid/national_security_concept_2017.pdf; KAM (2017); National Security Strategy of Republic of Lithuania, https://kam.lt/en/title.html; MOD (2015); The National Security Concept of Latvia, Informative section. https://www.mod.gov.lv/~/media/AM/Par_aizsardzibas_nozari/Plani,%20koncepcijas/NDK/NDK_ENG_final.ashx.

  3. 3.

    Gotkowsaka and Szymański (2017), p. 5, http://www.centrumbalticum.org/files/2157/BSR_Policy_Briefing_1_2017.pdf.

  4. 4.

    Lucas (2015), https://1f3d3593-8810-425c-bc7f-8988c808b72b.filesusr.com/ugd/644196_302ae06eff3a4f20ab59888b0ed73a0f.pdf.

  5. 5.

    Buzan and Waver (1998).

  6. 6.

    State Security Department of Republic of Lithuania (VSD) and Second Investigation Department Under the Ministry of National Defence (AOTD), National Threat Assessment of Lithuania, 2018, https://www.vsd.lt/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/ENG.pdf, p. 58.

  7. 7.

    A. Raczh, “Russia’s Hybrid War in Ukraine: Breaking the Enemy’s Ability to Resist,” Finnish Institute of International Affairs, FIIA Report 43, 2015, https://storage.googleapis.com/upi-live/2017/01/fiiareport43.pdf.

  8. 8.

    D. Johnson, “Russia’s Approach to Conflict –Implications for NATO’s Deterrence and Defence,” NATO Defence College. Research Paper 111, 2015, p. 16.

  9. 9.

    Chivvis (2017), pp. 3–4, https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/testimonies/CT400/CT468/RAND_CT468.pdf.

  10. 10.

    Vitkus (2017), p. 149.

  11. 11.

    Jakniūnaitė (2016), p. 8; Šešelgytė (2013), p. 51.

  12. 12.

    Sprūds and Vizgunova (2018), p. 10.

  13. 13.

    Buzan et al. (1998).

  14. 14.

    Thorhallsson (2018), p. 27, https://www.um.edu.mt/sst/docs/SST-1-1-Thorhallsson.pdf.

  15. 15.

    European Commission, Eurydice, Latvia, 2018, https://eacea.ec.europa.eu/national-policies/eurydice/content/population-demographic-situation-languages-and-religions-40_en.

  16. 16.

    Kuczynska-Zonik (2017), https://doi.org/10.11649/en.1438.

  17. 17.

    Central Statistical Bureau of Latvia, “At home Latvian is spoken by 62% of Latvian population; the majority – in Vidzeme and Lubāna county,” 2013, https://www.csb.gov.lv/en/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/census/search-in-theme/1442-home-latvian-spoken-62-latvian-population.

  18. 18.

    M. Laruelle, “The “Russian World: Russia’s Soft Power and Geopolitical Imagination,” Centre on Global Interests (CGI), pp. 8–10, http://globalinterests.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/FINAL-CGI_Russian-World_Marlene-Laruelle.pdf.

  19. 19.

    Berzina (2018), p. 1, https://www.aei.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/Mitigating-Nonmilitary-Vulnerabilities-of-Latvia.pdf.

  20. 20.

    European Commission, Standard Eurobarometer 86: Public Opinion in the European Union, December 2016, 22, http://ec.europa.eu/commfrontoffice/publicopinion/index.cfm/Survey/getSurveyDetail/yearFrom/1974/yearTo/2016/surveyKy/2137.

  21. 21.

    Latvia Security Police, Annual Report, 2016, 12–18, 19–22, https://vdd.gov.lv/en/useful/annual-reports/.

  22. 22.

    Berzina, 3.

  23. 23.

    Latvia Security Police, Annual Report, 2018, 23, https://vdd.gov.lv/en/useful/annual-reports/.

  24. 24.

    Kudors (2014), p. 74.

  25. 25.

    Latvia Security Police, Annual Report, 2018, 18.

  26. 26.

    Berzina, 3.

  27. 27.

    Potjomkina and Vizgunova (2018), p. 126.

  28. 28.

    A. Wiktorek Saro, “Fighting Disinformation in Baltic States,” FIPRI, 2017, https://www.fpri.org/article/2017/07/fighting-disinformation-baltic-states/.

  29. 29.

    Vilmorus, “Apklausa: draugiškiausia valsybė- Latvija, didžiausią grėsmę kelia Rusija. Lzinios.lt, 2019, https://www.lzinios.lt/Lietuva/apklausa-draugiskiausia-valstybe-latvija-didziausia-gresme-kelia-rusija/280952.

  30. 30.

    Lietuvos statistikos departamentas, Lietuvos gyventojai 2011 metais. 2011 m. gyventojų surašymo duomenys, 2013, https://news.err.ee/852030/the-grey-passport-issue-ministry-of-the-interior-s-response.

  31. 31.

    KAM, National Security Strategy of Republic of Lithuania, 2017, 6–7, https://kam.lt/en/title.html.

  32. 32.

    Matonytė et al. (2017), p. 17.

  33. 33.

    State Security Department of Republic of Lithuania (VSD) and Second Investigation Department Under the Ministry of National Defence (AOTD), National Threat Assessment of Lithuania, 2019, 44, https://www.vsd.lt/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/2019-Gresmes-internetui-EN.pdf.

  34. 34.

    Bajarūnas and Keršanskas (2018), p. 144, https://www.tspmi.vu.lt/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/lietuvos-metine-strategine-apzvalga-2017-2018-t-16.pdf.

  35. 35.

    State Security Department of Republic of Lithuania (VSD) and Second Investigation Department Under the Ministry of National Defence (AOTD), National Threat Assessment of Lithuania, 2019, 46, https://www.vsd.lt/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/2019-Gresmes-internetui-EN.pdf.

  36. 36.

    A. Ramonaitė, ed., “Kas eitų ginti Lietuvos: pilietinio pasipriešinimo prielaidos ir galimybės, Vilnius, 2018, pp. 155–157; Jastramskis (2017).

  37. 37.

    National Threat Assessment of Lithuania, 2018, 43.

  38. 38.

    “Lithuania looking for source of false accusation of rape by German troops, Reuters, 17 February, 2017, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-lithuania-nato/lithuania-looking-for-source-of-false-accusation-of-rape-by-german-troops-idUSKBN15W1JO.

  39. 39.

    Nacionalinis kibernetinio saugumo centras prie Krašto apsaugos ministerijos, 2017 metų nacionalio kibernetinio saugumo būklės ataskaita, https://www.nksc.lt/doc/NKSC_ataskaita_2017_%5blt%5d.pdf.

  40. 40.

    Kremlin Watch Report, “Ranking of countermeasures by the EU28 to the Kremlin’s subversion operations,” European Values, 2018, 65. http://www.kremlinwatch.eu/userfiles/2018-ranking-of-countermeasures-by-the-eu28-to-the-kremlin-s-subversion-operations.pdf.

  41. 41.

    Verslo žinios, Išankstiniame Jungtinių Tautų (JT) skelbiamame globaliame kibernetinio saugumo indekse Lietuva užima ketvirtą vietą, pirmadienį pranešė Krašto apsaugos ministerija, Verslo Žinios, 2019, https://www.vz.lt/verslo-aplinka/2019/04/01/pasauliniame-kibernetinio-saugumo-indekse-lietuva-uzeme-ketvirta-vieta#ixzz5nQwOaYOv.

  42. 42.

    Riigikantselei, “National Security Concept of Estonia,” 2017, 6, 21, https://riigikantselei.ee/sites/default/files/content-editors/Failid/national_security_concept_2017.pdf.

  43. 43.

    European Parliament, “Democratic Transition and Linguistic Minorities in Estonia and Latvia,” In-depth Analysis, 2018, 8, http://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/IDAN/2018/604952/IPOL_IDA(2018)6049.52_EN.pdf; World Population Review, Estonia, 2019, http://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/estonia-population/.

  44. 44.

    Lucas and Pomeranzev (2016), p. 21, https://cepa.ecms.pl/files/?id_plik=2773%2021.

  45. 45.

    S. Svenson, “Russia and the Baltic States: Why Language Matters,” Inkstick, 2018, https://inkstickmedia.com/russia-baltic-states-language-matters/.

  46. 46.

    Kivirähk (2018), p. 4, http://www.kaitseministeerium.ee/sites/default/files/elfinder/article_files/public_opinion_and_national_defence_2018_october.pdf.

  47. 47.

    Purju (2013), https://www.eesc.europa.eu/sites/default/files/resources/docs/qe-30-12-149-en-c.pdf.

  48. 48.

    Statistics Estonia, “Average monthly gross income per employee increased last year, News Release,” 2018, https://www.stat.ee/news-release-2018-052.

  49. 49.

    Josh Rubin, “NATO Fears That This Town Will Be the Epicenter of Conflict With Russia,” The Atlantic, January 24, 2019, https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2019/01/narva-scenario-nato-conflict-russia-estonia/581089/.

  50. 50.

    Lucas and Pomeranzev (2016), p. 21, https://cepa.ecms.pl/files/?id_plik=2773%2021.

  51. 51.

    T. McCulloh, R. Johnson, “Hybrid Warfare,” Joint Special Operations University Report, No. 13–4, August 2013, http://www.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a591803.pdf.

  52. 52.

    Riigikantselei, “National Security Concept of Estonia,” 2017, https://riigikantselei.ee/sites/default/files/content-editors/Failid/national_security_concept_2017.pdf.

  53. 53.

    Republic of Estonia Government, “The Government approved a comprehensive approach towards development civil protection,” 2018, https://www.valitsus.ee/en/news/government-approved-comprehensive-approach-towards-developing-civil-protection.

  54. 54.

    Kuczynska-Zonik (2017), p. 53, https://doi.org/10.11649/sn.1438.

  55. 55.

    G. Gray, “Fearing Russian Influence, Estonia Trust to the Arts, New York Times, November 1, 2019, https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/11/arts/estonia-russia-narva.html.

  56. 56.

    P. Goble, “Experts: Estonia has Successfully Integrated 90% of Its Ethnic Russians”, Estonian World, 2018, https://estonianworld.com/security/experts-estonia-successfully-integrated-nearly-90-ethnic-russians/?fbclid=IwAR0RhF_IuZIjTbK6dG4ESPViywPdleQ8YRIHDw2KLdrQTWUV8yOYoToTQXo.

References

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Margrarita Šešelgytė .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2021 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Šešelgytė, M., Bladaitė, N. (2021). How to Defend Society? Baltic Responses to Hybrid Threats. In: Brady, AM., Thorhallsson, B. (eds) Small States and the New Security Environment. The World of Small States, vol 7. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-51529-4_6

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-51529-4_6

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-51528-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-51529-4

  • eBook Packages: Law and CriminologyLaw and Criminology (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics